The NHL Stanley Cup playoffs are well underway, so let's look at who's favored to win the Conn Smythe trophy as playoff MVP per Sportsbook.
2025 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds
| Player | Odds |
|---|---|
| Connor McDavid | -140 |
| Sergei Bobrovsky | +430 |
| Leon Draisaitl | +430 |
| Sam Bennett | +1000 |
| Aleksander Barkov | +1800 |
| Stuart Skinner | +9500 |
Odds as of June 6 from Sportsbook
2025 Conn Smythe Trophy Odds Favorite: connor mcDavid
Connor McDavid won the Conn Smythe last year even though the Oilers lost in the Stanley Cup Final—something that hadn't been done since 2003. Now, he's the favorite to win it again, but this time he's looking to pair the award with Edmonton's first Cup in over three decades.
Leading the playoffs in scoring is a good start to defending his playoff MVP award from last year. We know McDavid can be a beast in the Finals, scoring 11 points in seven games a year ago. He's started this year's Stanley Cup Finals on the right foot, scoring two points as the Oilers won Game 1.
If we get that same McDavid this time around, McJesus could easily win back-to-back Conn Smythe Trophies.
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Conn Smythe Trophy Betting Handle & Data
Thanks to our friends at Sportsbook, we know that Connor McDavid has the highest volume of Conn Smythe Trophy bets at 8.7%. He's also got the third-highest handle after the now eliminated Mikko Rantanen at 8.5% and Freddy Andersen at 8.8%. Those percentages indicate McDavid is a significant liability for sportsbooks should he win back-to-back playoff MVPs.
Most-Bet Player (Total Bets)
- Connor McDavid 8.7%
- Mikko Rantanen 7.1%
- Sergei Bobrovsky 6.2%
Most-Bet Player (Total Money)
- Mikko Rantanen 13.2%
- Frederick Andersen 8.8%
- Connor McDavid 8.5%
Conn Smythe Trophy Betting
If you think regular futures betting is tough, try selecting not only the winning team, but the highest-performing player from that roster. It may seem as simple as selecting the team's best player, but the problem is that Stanley Cup-caliber squads have multiple best players.
| Year | Winner | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Connor McDavid (C) | Edmonton Oilers* |
| 2023 | Jonathan Marchessault (RW) | Vegas Golden Knights |
| 2022 | Cale Makar (D) | Colorado Avalanche* |
| 2021 | Andrei Vasilevskiy (G) | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 2020 | Victor Hedman (D) | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 2019 | Ryan O’Reilly (C) | St. Louis Blues* |
| 2018 | Alexander Ovechkin (LW) | Washington Capitals |
| 2017 | Sidney Crosby (C) | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 2016 | Sidney Crosby (C) | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 2015 | Duncan Keith (D) | Chicago Blackhawks |
The Conn Smythe Trophy might be for the "playoff MVP," but voters typically only vote for Champions; they don't care about anything that happened outside of the Stanley Cup Finals. So, hold onto your Conn Smythe bets until the field is whittled down.
But, once you reach the Finals, a safe bet is always on the highest scoring player. Two of the last three Conn Smythe winners were the leading scorer in the playoffs; the exception was Marchessault, but he was only one point back of playoff scoring leader Jack Eichel.
Conn Smythe: Little Love For Losers
A Stanley Cup Final loser has won the Conn Smythe only six times. Only two skaters have ever won it. Reggie Leach in '76, who had 11 more goals than the next-best player, and now Connor McDavid in '24 with 10 more points than anyone in the playoffs.
The six Final losers to win the Conn Smythe:
- 1966 - Roger Crozier (Detroit Red Wings)
- 1968 - Glenn Hall (St. Louis Blues)
- 1976 - Reggie Leach (Philadelphia Flyers)
- 1987 - Ron Hextall (Philadelphia Flyers)
- 2003 - Jean-Sebastien Giguere (Mighty Ducks of Anaheim)
- 2024 - Connor McDavid (Edmonton Oilers)
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